Flyers vs Rangers Prediction

Flyers vs Rangers Prediction: NHL betting model gives the Rangers a 56.50% win probability but highlights value in betting on the Flyers. Despite the odds, Flyers’ high-danger chances and faceoff efficiency suggest a potential upset. Consider the calculated value bet on the Flyers for an informed wager.

The face-off between the Philadelphia Flyers and the New York Rangers is rapidly approaching, promising an intense clash that has fans and bettors alike buzzing with anticipation. In this detailed analysis, we will dissect the Flyers vs Rangers prediction, leveraging statistical insights, game dynamics, and betting odds to provide you with the most informed betting advice for the game on November 11, 2024.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

First and foremost, it’s crucial to consider the game’s odds, which offer a snapshot of what to expect:

  • Philadelphia Flyers: 2.80 (Decimal), +180 (US)
  • New York Rangers: 1.45 (Decimal), -222 (US)

These odds underscore the Rangers’ status as the favorites in this match-up. However, the inherent unpredictability of hockey, especially in a rivalry as fierce as Flyers vs Rangers, means anything can happen on the ice.

Statistical Analysis Before the Final Prediction

High Danger Chances per 60 Minutes (HDCF/60)

  • Philadelphia Flyers: Rank 10
  • New York Rangers: Rank 16

The Flyers have been more effective in creating high-danger chances compared to the Rangers. This could be a key factor in breaking through the Rangers’ defense.

Offensive and Defensive Matchup

The Rangers boast a superior offense, averaging 3.88 goals per 60 minutes, compared to the Flyers’ 2.78. However, the Flyers have shown they can outshoot their opponents, with 32.87 shots per 60 minutes.

Defensively, the Flyers struggle with a goals-against average of 3.82 per 60 minutes, while the Rangers maintain a more robust defense at 2.81.

Flyers vs Rangers Prediction

Other Key Stats

  • Faceoff Win Percentage (CF%):
  • Flyers: 52.76%
  • Rangers: 50.46%
  • Shooting Percentage (FF%):
  • Flyers: 55.66%
  • Rangers: 50.74%
  • Goal Differential:
  • Flyers: -1.04
  • Rangers: +1.07

Projected Starting Goalies

  • Philadelphia Flyers: Samuel Ersson (SV%: 0.898)
  • New York Rangers: Igor Shesterkin (SV%: 0.912)

Goalie performance could be the deciding factor, with Shesterkin showing a slight edge over Ersson.

NHL Betting Model Prediction

According to our NHL betting model:

  • Win Probability: Rangers 56.50% vs. Flyers 43.50%
  • Despite the odds favoring the Rangers, the calculated adjusted Kelly Criterion suggests a value bet on the Philadelphia Flyers.

Recommended NHL Bet

Given the statistical analysis and betting model prediction, the recommended bet is on the Philadelphia Flyers. This is not a straightforward decision, given the Rangers’ strong position, but the value lies in the potential upset the Flyers could deliver based on their high-danger chances and faceoff win percentage.

Conclusion: Flyers vs Rangers Prediction

In the upcoming Flyers vs Rangers clash, while the odds favor the New York Rangers, our comprehensive analysis points towards the Philadelphia Flyers as the value bet. Always ensure to shop for the best odds and take advantage of promotions during the NHL betting season. Remember, betting wisely and responsibly is paramount.

In the world of sports betting, especially with the unpredictability of NHL games, understanding the nuances and statistical underpinnings of each match-up is crucial. This Flyers vs Rangers prediction is a testament to the depth of analysis required to make informed betting decisions. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a newcomer to the scene, the thrill of the game combined with strategic betting can make for an exhilarating experience.

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