Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction April 21

Our MLB betting model shows a tight matchup in the “Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction” on April 21, 2024. With the Diamondbacks at a 49.84% win probability and the Giants slightly ahead at 50.16%, the game odds are closely contested, making it a fascinating pick for bettors.


In this comprehensive analysis, we’re diving into the anticipated MLB matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants set for Sunday, April 21, 2024, at Oracle Park. With the starting pitchers being Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks and Jordan Hicks for the Giants, this game promises a riveting duel on the mound. This “Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction” post will guide you through the pitching matchups, team offenses, and bullpen performance, providing a calculated prediction based on detailed statistical analysis and betting models.

Game Overview

  • Date and Time: April 21, 2024
  • Venue: Oracle Park
  • Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
  • Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Jordan Hicks
  • Sportsbook Odds: Diamondbacks (Decimal: 2.02, US: +102), Giants (Decimal: 1.92, US: -109)

Starting Pitcher Analysis

Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.16
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.07
  • xFIP: 3.81
  • K/9: 9.25
  • BB/9: 3.34
  • WHIP: 1.16
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.31

Jordan Hicks (San Francisco Giants)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 1.57
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.75
  • xFIP: 3.72
  • K/9: 7.04
  • BB/9: 2.35
  • WHIP: 0.91
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.84

Team Comparison

Bullpen Performance

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: Ranked 23rd
  • San Francisco Giants: Ranked 21st

Offensive Matchup

  • Overall Rank:
  • Diamondbacks: 17th
  • Giants: 11th
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Diamondbacks: 3rd
  • Giants: 18th
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers:
  • Diamondbacks: 14th
  • Giants: 16th
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction

Betting Model Insights

Based on our proprietary MLB betting model, here’s how the teams stack up for the “Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction”:

  • Arizona Diamondbacks (Merrill Kelly):
  • Probability: 49.84%
  • Model Projected US Odds: +101
  • Model Projected Decimal Odds: 2.01
  • San Francisco Giants (Jordan Hicks):
  • Probability: 50.16%
  • Model Projected US Odds: -101
  • Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.99

Recommended MLB Pick

Our MLB betting model suggests a slight edge for the Giants, but the value lies with the Diamondbacks. Based on the analysis and the Adjusted Kelly Criterion, there’s a tiny value in betting on the Diamondbacks at odds of +102.

Conclusion: Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction

In this Diamondbacks vs Giants prediction, both teams are closely matched, reflecting in nearly even odds. While the advanced stats and model insights tilt slightly towards the Giants, the value recommendation is to consider a modest wager on the Diamondbacks. Always ensure to check the latest odds, shop for the best values across sportsbooks, and utilize any available promotions. For those interested in making informed, analytical betting decisions, consider accessing our MLB betting model or exploring our sports betting courses.

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