Cubs vs Mets Prediction

Explore our MLB betting model for the Cubs vs Mets prediction. With the Mets favored at 59.91% and Jose Butto on the mound, our model suggests the Mets as a valuable pick at -110 odds. Dive into the detailed odds and betting insights to make your informed choice.


As the Chicago Cubs head to Citi Field to face the New York Mets on May 1, 2024, the Cubs vs Mets Prediction becomes a focal point for MLB betting enthusiasts. This game features an exciting pitching matchup between Shota Imanaga for the Cubs and Jose Butto for the Mets, with the current odds favoring a tightly contested battle. This analysis will dive deep into the pitching, bullpen, and offensive matchups to help you make an informed betting decision.

Game Details

  • Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024
  • Location: Citi Field, New York
  • Odds: Chicago Cubs (-118), New York Mets (-110)
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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Shota Imanaga (Chicago Cubs)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 0.98
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.12
  • xFIP: 3.28
  • K/9: 9.11
  • BB/9: 0.98
  • WHIP: 0.80
  • GB/FB: 0.78
  • xERA: 3.00

Jose Butto (New York Mets)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 2.86
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.06
  • xFIP: 4.14
  • K/9: 10.23
  • BB/9: 4.91
  • WHIP: 1.09
  • GB/FB: 1.00
  • xERA: 4.80

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

Bullpen Rankings

  • Chicago Cubs: Ranked 25th
  • New York Mets: Ranked 1st

Offensive Comparison

  • Overall Rank:
  • Cubs: 19th
  • Mets: 16th
  • Against Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Cubs: 3rd
  • Mets: 15th
  • Against Right-Handed Pitchers:
  • Cubs: 22nd
  • Mets: 11th
Cubs vs Mets Prediction \

MLB Betting Model Insights

Probability Analysis

  • Chicago Cubs (Shota Imanaga): 40.09% probability
  • Projected US Odds: +149
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.49
  • New York Mets (Jose Butto): 59.91% probability
  • Projected US Odds: -149
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.67

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets
  • Pitcher: Jose Butto
  • Odds: -110
  • Value: Good (Adjusted Kelly Criterion value: 1.58)

Conclusion: Cubs vs Mets Prediction

In this Cubs vs Mets Prediction, our analysis suggests that the New York Mets present a good value bet, backed by a superior bullpen and a favorable matchup against a weaker Cubs offense against right-handed pitchers. Always remember to shop around for the best odds and consider taking advantage of any available bonuses and promotions. For those looking to refine their betting strategies, consider accessing detailed sports betting models and courses to enhance your analytical skills.

Final Note: Always use betting predictions as a guide and ensure you conduct your personal analysis before placing any bets.

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