Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction

Today’s Cardinals vs Tigers prediction is closely matched, with our MLB betting model giving the Cardinals a slight edge at 51.39% probability of winning. This presents a tiny value on the Cardinals with odds at -105. Check sportsbooks for the latest odds before placing bets.


Introduction

On Wednesday, May 1, 2024, the baseball world will set its eyes on Comerica Park as the St. Louis Cardinals take on the Detroit Tigers in a thrilling matchup. This Cardinals vs Tigers prediction will dive deep into the starting pitchers’ duel between Miles Mikolas of the Cardinals and Kenta Maeda of the Tigers, examining detailed stats and predictive models to forecast the outcome of this intriguing encounter.

Game Details

Overview

  • Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024
  • Location: Comerica Park, Detroit
  • Odds: St. Louis Cardinals (-105), Detroit Tigers (-110)
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Betting Odds Analysis

Before making any bets, it’s essential to shop around for the best MLB odds. As of now, the odds are closely matched, reflecting the potentially tight contest between these two teams. The Cardinals come in slightly favored with decimal odds of 1.95, equivalent to US odds of -105, while the Tigers are at decimal odds of 1.91 or -110 in US odds.

Pitching Matchup Analysis

Miles Mikolas vs Kenta Maeda

Miles Mikolas (St. Louis Cardinals)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 5.91
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.13
  • xFIP: 3.92
  • K/9: 7.03
  • BB/9: 1.97
  • WHIP: 1.47
  • GB/FB: 1.17
  • xERA: 5.72

Kenta Maeda (Detroit Tigers)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 5.96
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.5
  • xFIP: 4.63
  • K/9: 6.75
  • BB/9: 2.78
  • WHIP: 1.37
  • GB/FB: 1.03
  • xERA: 4.49

Both pitchers are struggling with high ERAs above 5.90, but their underlying metrics suggest potential for improvement. Mikolas shows better control and a slightly more effective strikeout rate, which might give him the edge in this matchup.

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

Bullpen Ranks

  • St. Louis Cardinals: Ranked 2nd
  • Detroit Tigers: Ranked 17th

The Cardinals have a significant advantage in the bullpen, which could be pivotal in a close game.

Offensive Comparison

  • Overall Rank:
  • Cardinals: 23rd
  • Tigers: 24th
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers:
  • Cardinals: 19th
  • Tigers: 24th

Although both teams struggle offensively, the Cardinals perform slightly better against right-handed pitchers, which could play a crucial role in today’s game.

Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction

MLB Betting Model Predictions

Probability and Odds

  • St. Louis Cardinals (Miles Mikolas):
  • Probability: 51.39%
  • Projected Odds: -106 (Decimal: 1.95)
  • Detroit Tigers (Kenta Maeda):
  • Probability: 48.61%
  • Projected Odds: 106 (Decimal: 2.06)

The model suggests a slight edge for the Cardinals, mirroring the actual odds set by sportsbooks.

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
  • Pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Odds: -105
  • Confidence: Tiny value (Kelly Criterion: 0.02)

Conclusion: Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction

This Cardinals vs Tigers prediction should serve as a guide, not a definitive answer. Always ensure to shop for the best odds and take advantage of any available promotions. If you’re looking to enhance your betting strategies, consider exploring sports betting courses that utilize analytical models. Remember, no prediction is guaranteed, and it’s crucial to bet responsibly.

For final best MLB bets and additional picks, check out the “MLB Picks” page or get access to the full MLB betting model in Google Sheets. This tool will empower you to make your own informed betting decisions based on detailed statistical analysis.

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