Cardinals vs Athletics Prediction

Explore our MLB betting model analysis for the Cardinals vs Athletics prediction on April 17, 2024. The model favors the Cardinals with a 57.06% winning probability, projecting odds at -133. Dive into our detailed breakdown to inform your betting strategies. Always check updated odds before placing bets.


In the upcoming Cardinals vs Athletics prediction for Wednesday, April 17, 2024, we dissect a pivotal MLB matchup featuring starters Steven Matz of the St. Louis Cardinals and Paul Blackburn of the Oakland Athletics. Held at Oakland Coliseum, this game not only brings excitement but also offers intriguing insights for sports bettors.

Game Overview

Matchup Details

  • Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Oakland Athletics
  • Venue: Oakland Coliseum
  • Starting Pitchers: Steven Matz (Cardinals) vs Paul Blackburn (Athletics)

Sportsbook Odds

  • St. Louis Cardinals: 1.70 Decimal (-143 US)
  • Oakland Athletics: 2.20 Decimal (+120 US)

Note: Odds are subject to change; always check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

Pitching Analysis

Steven Matz (Cardinals)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 3.72
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA 4.33, xFIP 4.05, K/9 7.88, BB/9 2.6, WHIP 1.37, GB/FB 1.33

Paul Blackburn (Athletics)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.61
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA 4.42, xFIP 4.2, K/9 8.41, BB/9 3.32, WHIP 1.39, GB/FB 1.29
Cardinals vs Athletics Prediction

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

Bullpen Rank

  • Cardinals: 2nd
  • Athletics: 12th

Offensive Comparison

  • Overall Rank: Cardinals 22nd, Athletics 26th
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: Cardinals 22nd, Athletics 29th
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: Cardinals 21st, Athletics 20th

MLB Betting Model Insights

Model Probabilities

  • Cardinals (Steven Matz): 57.06% probability, projected -133 US odds, 1.75 decimal
  • Athletics (Paul Blackburn): 42.94% probability, projected +133 US odds, 2.33 decimal

Recommended MLB Picks

Moneyline Value

  • Pick: St. Louis Cardinals
  • Pitcher: Steven Matz
  • Odds: -143 US
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion: -0.43 (indicating no significant value, more of a strategic play)

Conclusion: Cardinals vs Athletics Prediction

The Cardinals vs Athletics prediction leverages detailed analysis, showcasing the Cardinals as the preferable choice albeit without substantial betting value. As with any sports bet, ensure to check the latest odds and consider all factors before making a decision. For those looking to deepen their understanding of MLB betting strategies, exploring sports betting courses may offer valuable insights and methodologies. Always bet responsibly and consider multiple viewpoints before placing your wager.

For final MLB bets, first half picks, and more, visit our “MLB Picks” page or explore our MLB Betting Model in Google Sheets.

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