Brewers vs Royals Prediction

The Brewers vs Royals Prediction hinges on the MLB betting model probability, favoring Milwaukee at 52.14% with Joe Ross on the mound. Kansas City, at 47.86%, relies on Brady Singer’s strong pitching. Explore the matchup’s statistics and betting odds for an informed pick in this exciting MLB showdown.

In this pivotal MLB matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Kansas City Royals, our focus keyword “Brewers vs Royals Prediction” takes center stage. The Brewers will square off against the Royals on Wednesday, May 8, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium. With Joe Ross pitching for Milwaukee and Brady Singer on the mound for Kansas City, both teams will aim to secure an important win in their respective seasons. Let’s dive into the game info, pitching matchups, and the best sportsbook odds to help you make an informed prediction.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Milwaukee Brewers: 2.00 (Decimal) / +100 (US)
  • Kansas City Royals: 1.83 (Decimal) / -120 (US)
  • Ballpark: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Odds can change before the first pitch, so it’s important to compare the best available MLB odds across sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers: Joe Ross vs Brady Singer

  • Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers)
  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 4.65
  • Advanced Stats:
    • SIERA: 4.37
    • xFIP: 4.41
    • K/9: 7.84
    • BB/9: 3.48
    • WHIP: 1.55
    • GB/FB: 1.15
    • xERA: 3.93
  • Brady Singer (Kansas City Royals)
  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 2.45
  • Advanced Stats:
    • SIERA: 3.29
    • xFIP: 3.21
    • K/9: 9.37
    • BB/9: 2.9
    • WHIP: 0.97
    • GB/FB: 1.93
    • xERA: 3.9

Brady Singer boasts a superior ERA compared to Joe Ross, and his advanced stats (xFIP, SIERA, K/9, WHIP) indicate an overall stronger performance. However, Ross has shown potential for effectiveness and resilience on the mound.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Milwaukee Brewers: Ranked 14th
  • Kansas City Royals: Ranked 29th

The Brewers bullpen is in the top half of the league, while the Royals bullpen lags behind at 29th. This discrepancy could impact the late innings.

Offensive Matchup

  • Milwaukee Brewers:
  • Overall Rank: 7th
  • Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 28th
  • Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 4th
  • Kansas City Royals:
  • Overall Rank: 22nd
  • Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 25th
  • Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 16th

The Brewers are much stronger offensively, particularly against right-handers, where they rank 4th in the league.

Brewers vs Royals Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

  • Milwaukee Brewers (Joe Ross):
  • Probability: 52.14%
  • Projected US odds: -109
  • Projected Decimal odds: 1.92
  • Kansas City Royals (Brady Singer):
  • Probability: 47.86%
  • Projected US odds: 109
  • Projected Decimal odds: 2.09

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers (Joe Ross)
  • Odds: +100
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Value: 0.43
  • Confidence: Tiny value

Conclusion: Brewers vs Royals Prediction

Our Brewers vs Royals Prediction suggests a slight value play on the Brewers’ moneyline. With Joe Ross on the mound and the team’s offense poised to exploit right-handed pitching, there’s a modest confidence level in Milwaukee’s chances. As always, shop around for the best MLB baseball betting odds and take advantage of available bonuses. Make sure to check the “MLB Picks” page for more information, and learn to analyze baseball betting projections like a pro with our sports betting courses.

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