Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction April 21

Explore our latest Brewers vs Cardinals prediction, spotlighting a tight match with the Brewers holding a slight edge with a 50.62% win probability. Dive into our MLB betting model for insightful odds and data-driven picks, ensuring your bets are placed with confidence and strategic advantage.


In the upcoming MLB showdown set for Sunday, April 21, 2024, the Milwaukee Brewers face off against the St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This “Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction” dives deep into the game’s specifics, starting with a pitching duel between Colin Rea of the Brewers and Sonny Gray of the Cardinals. As the odds suggest a close match, this analysis aims to equip bettors with all the necessary insights to make an informed betting decision.

Game Overview

Pitching Matchup: Colin Rea vs. Sonny Gray

Colin Rea’s Season Performance

  • ERA: 4.49
  • SIERA: 4.31
  • xFIP: 4.24
  • K/9: 7.87
  • BB/9: 2.42
  • WHIP: 1.17
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.07

Sonny Gray’s Season Performance

  • ERA: 2.63
  • SIERA: 3.88
  • xFIP: 3.59
  • K/9: 8.95
  • BB/9: 2.54
  • WHIP: 1.13
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.51

Team Comparisons and Odds

Bullpen Strengths

  • Milwaukee Brewers: Ranked 9th
  • St Louis Cardinals: Ranked 3rd

Offensive Capabilities

  • Milwaukee Brewers:
  • Overall Rank: 5
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 30
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 3
  • St Louis Cardinals:
  • Overall Rank: 27
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 24
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 25

Sportsbook Odds

  • Milwaukee Brewers: Decimal odds 2.50 (US odds +150)
  • St Louis Cardinals: Decimal odds 1.66 (US odds -152)
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction

Analysis: MLB Betting Model Insights

Probability Assessment

  • Milwaukee Brewers (Colin Rea): 50.62% chance to win
  • St Louis Cardinals (Sonny Gray): 49.38% chance to win

Projected Betting Odds

  • Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Decimal odds 1.98 (US odds -102)
  • St Louis Cardinals: Projected Decimal odds 2.03 (US odds +103)

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (Moneyline)
  • Pitcher: Colin Rea
  • Odds: +150
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 1.77
  • Confidence: Good value

Conclusion: Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction

In conclusion, the “Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction” should serve as a guide but not the sole factor in making betting decisions. Always ensure to shop for the best MLB odds and leverage bonuses and promotions during the MLB season. For those interested in refining their betting strategies, consider exploring sports betting courses and models to craft more analytical, data-driven bets. Remember, informed betting is smart betting.

Note: For the latest updates on MLB picks and detailed betting strategies, check out the “MLB Picks” page or access our comprehensive MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets.

Access my free content and join exclusive, private email circle for strategic advice, personal stories, and expert tips.

No spam. Betting value only.