Braves vs Phillies Prediction

Our Braves vs Phillies Prediction leans towards the Atlanta Braves with a 57.61% probability of winning, according to our MLB betting model. Projected odds favor the Braves at -136. This analysis, rooted in deep statistical review, underscores the Braves’ edge in this anticipated matchup on March 29, 2024.


In the eagerly awaited matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, March 29, 2024, all eyes are set on what promises to be an exhilarating game at Citizens Bank Park. Our Braves vs Phillies Prediction hinges on a detailed analysis of both teams’ performance, focusing on their pitchers, Spencer Strider of the Braves and Zack Wheeler of the Phillies. With sportsbook odds indicating a tight contest, let’s dive deep into the statistics and factors that will influence this game.

Game Information & Betting Odds

  • Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
  • Atlanta Braves Odds: 1.82 (Decimal), -122 (US)
  • Philadelphia Phillies Odds: 2.13 (Decimal), +113 (US)

Note: Odds are subject to change; always check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

Pitching Matchup Analysis

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.86
  • SIERA: 2.86
  • xFIP: 2.92
  • K/9: 13.55
  • BB/9: 2.8
  • WHIP: 1.09
  • GB/FB: 0.78
  • xERA: 3.09

Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.61
  • SIERA: 3.53
  • xFIP: 3.54
  • K/9: 9.94
  • BB/9: 1.83
  • WHIP: 1.08
  • GB/FB: 1.07
  • xERA: 3.18

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

  • Bullpen Matchup: Atlanta Braves rank 1st, while the Philadelphia Phillies sit at 14th in the league.
  • Offensive Matchup: The Braves lead with an overall rank of 1, including rankings against left and right-handed pitchers. The Phillies, while ranked 9th overall, show a lesser performance against both types of pitching.

MLB Betting Model Predictions

  • Atlanta Braves (Spencer Strider): 57.61% probability, -136 projected US odds, 1.74 projected decimal odds.
  • Philadelphia Phillies (Zack Wheeler): 42.39% probability, +136 projected US odds, 2.36 projected decimal odds.

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: Atlanta Braves
  • Pitcher: Spencer Strider
  • Odds: -122
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.59

This free recommended MLB pick leans towards the Atlanta Braves, considering the pitching, bullpen strength, and offensive capabilities.

Conclusion for Braves vs Phillies Prediction

In summing up our Braves vs Phillies Prediction, while the analytics favor the Atlanta Braves, it’s crucial to remember the unpredictability inherent in baseball. Always compare odds across sportsbooks, and consider using bonuses and promotions effectively during the MLB season. For those inclined towards a more analytical approach to betting, delving into sports betting models can offer a structured path to making informed predictions.

Remember, use this Braves vs Phillies prediction as a guide but do your own research to craft the most informed betting strategy.

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