Welcome to MLB betting model projections and predictions from my private spreadsheets and additionally AI ChatGPT prediction for this game. This prediction is made by my private MLB betting model, which made more than 40 units in just 4 months, beating the closing line more than 70% of time with high value best MLB bets beating the line more than 90% of times with positive CLV of +4.52%.
Betting Odds
The betting odds are set for the Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers game on August 31, 2023, at Dodger Stadium:
- Atlanta Braves: US odds -128, Decimal odds 1.78
- Los Angeles Dodgers: US odds 112, Decimal odds 2.12
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Team Comparison
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves have played 132 games so far. They lead in several offensive categories with the highest R/G, HR, RBI, BA, OBP, SLG, and OPS rankings. Their OBP, SLG, and BA are significantly above the league average, indicating a strong offensive side.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers, having also played 132 games, closely follow the Braves in offensive statistics. They rank 2nd in R/G, HR, RBI, OBP, SLG, and OPS, with their OBP, SLG, and BA also being above the league average, showcasing a solid offensive lineup.
Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will start with Spencer Strider, a right-handed pitcher with a 15-4 win-loss record from 26 games started, an ERA of 3.46, and a SIERA of 2.75. The Los Angeles Dodgers will counter with Lance Lynn, a right-handed pitcher with a 10-9 win-loss record from 26 games started, an ERA of 5.56, and a SIERA of 3.99.
Bullpen Rankings
The Atlanta Braves’ bullpen ranks 7th out of 30 teams, while the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen ranks lower at 16th.
MLB Betting Model Prediction
The MLB betting model predicts a 57.76% win probability for the Atlanta Braves and a 42.23% win probability for the Los Angeles Dodgers. The projected over-under for total runs for the full game is 9.63.
Based on my MLB betting model predictions and betting analysis, the full game moneyline value is not a qualified bet. However, the first half betting value is on the Atlanta Braves.
BEST BET: Atlanta Braves (Strider) 1st Half -123
AI Prediction
Considering the provided stats and comparing them with sportsbook odds, my AI prediction would also favor the Atlanta Braves. They have a stronger offensive lineup and a better pitcher starting the game. Even though the Dodgers are a strong team, the Braves seem to have the edge in this matchup. Therefore, the value appears to be on the Atlanta Braves.
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