The upcoming match between Ball State and Kentucky is expected to be a closely contested affair, with both teams showing significant weaknesses in their offense. Here is a detailed analysis of both teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities, and a predicted score based on statistical data.

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Team Analysis:

Ball State:

  • Offensive Weakness: Ball State struggles on the offensive end, as reflected by an OSRS of -6.17. Despite this, they manage to score an average of 23.3 points per game. However, their offensive yardages in both passing and rushing are below average.
  • Defensive Weakness: The defense is slightly better but still below average, with a DSRS of -1.41. They allow an average of 26.9 points per game and have average defensive yardages in both passing and rushing.


  • Offensive Weakness: Kentucky also struggles offensively, with an OSRS of -3.12. They score an average of 20.4 points per game and have below-average offensive yardages in both passing and rushing.
  • Defensive Strength: However, their defense is strong, as indicated by a DSRS of 9.17. They only allow an average of 19.2 points per game and have low defensive yardages in both passing and rushing.

Predicted Score:

Based on the statistics:

  • Ball State is expected to score lower than their average of 23.3 points, considering Kentucky’s strong defense. A reasonable prediction would be around 15-20 points.
  • Kentucky is expected to score around their average of 20.4 points, considering Ball State’s slightly weaker defense. A reasonable prediction would be around 20-25 points.

So, a basic prediction for the game might be Ball State 15-20, Kentucky 20-25.

Recommended College Football Pick for Week 1

Ball State +26.5


This analysis suggests a narrow win for Kentucky, mainly due to their strong defense. However, this is a simplistic model and does not take into account many other factors that might influence the game, such as recent performance, injuries, home advantage, etc. It is always recommended to consult more advanced statistical models or expert opinions before making any betting decisions.

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