Let’s get right into our college football predictions and picks for the Week 2 matchup between Ball State and Georgia.

Team Overview

Ball State Cardinals:

  • Overall Performance: Ball State’s SRS is neutral, standing at 0 for both offensive (OSRS) and defensive (DSRS) ratings.
  • Scoring: The Cardinals average 23.3 points per game offensively, while they allow a slightly higher 26.9 points on the defensive side.
  • Passing and Rushing: Ball State’s offense averages 7.63 yards per pass and 4.52 yards per rush. Defensively, they give up 6.68 yards per passing attempt and 3.78 yards per rush attempt.
  • Efficiency: Their Football Power Index (FPI) is quite low at -10.3, indicating they’re below average in performance. Their overall efficiency is 33.6, ranking 102nd in offensive efficiency and 62.9 in defensive efficiency.

Georgia Bulldogs:

  • Overall Performance: Georgia has a favorable SRS of 9.28, primarily driven by their strong defensive score (DSRS) of 9.5. Their offensive score (OSRS) is slightly negative at -0.22.
  • Scoring: The Bulldogs are potent offensively, averaging a hefty 41.1 points per game and have a solid defense that restricts opponents to just 14.3 points.
  • Passing and Rushing: Offensively, they have 10 yards per passing attempt and 5.3 yards per rushing attempt. Their defense is notably tight, allowing just 3.88 yards per pass and 4.4 yards per rush.
  • Efficiency: Georgia boasts a high FPI of 24.7, reflecting their top-tier performance. Their overall efficiency stands at 69.7. They are ranked 47th in offensive efficiency and a commendable 74.6 in defensive efficiency.

Head-to-Head Projection:

  1. Ball State’s Offense vs. Georgia’s Defense: Ball State’s average offensive stats will face significant challenges against the Bulldogs’ stern defense. Georgia’s solid pass and rush defense should limit Ball State’s progress on the field.
  2. Georgia’s Offense vs. Ball State’s Defense: Georgia’s strong offensive unit should be able to exploit the vulnerabilities in Ball State’s defense, both in the air and on the ground.

Projected Points:

  • Ball State: Given Georgia’s stout defense, Ball State may be limited to around 10-12 points.
  • Georgia: Considering their offensive prowess and Ball State’s defensive stats, Georgia might amass around 47-48 points.

Recommended Underdog Pick by Artificial Intelligence: Ball State +42.5

Our prediction: Georgia wins 48-12.

The stats overwhelmingly favor Georgia in this matchup. With their offensive firepower and solid defense, the Bulldogs should comfortably handle the Cardinals. Those making college football picks for this game should lean heavily towards Georgia in moneyline and on Ball State to cover the spread.


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