Athletics vs Yankees Prediction

In our latest Athletics vs Yankees prediction, MLB betting model probabilities show the Yankees favored with a 61.33% chance of winning. However, the Athletics at +200 offer a solid value bet, underscoring an opportunity against the market odds. Check for updated odds before placing your bets.


In today’s Athletics vs Yankees prediction, we dive deep into the upcoming clash at Yankee Stadium on Monday, April 22, 2024. The Oakland Athletics, led by left-hander JP Sears, face off against Carlos Rodon and the New York Yankees. With the Athletics priced at +200 and the Yankees at -244, this game promises intriguing dynamics. Let’s break down the matchup to identify where the value lies in this contest.

Game Overview

Pitching Matchup Analysis

JP Sears (Oakland Athletics)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 4.52
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.77
  • xFIP: 5.22
  • K/9: 7.93
  • BB/9: 2.89
  • WHIP: 1.25
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.55

Carlos Rodon (New York Yankees)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 6.11
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.88
  • xFIP: 5.26
  • K/9: 8.79
  • BB/9: 4.18
  • WHIP: 1.5
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.55

Despite Rodon’s higher strikeout rate, his elevated ERA and WHIP suggest vulnerabilities that the Athletics might exploit.

Bullpen Comparison

  • Oakland Athletics Bullpen Rank: 10th
  • New York Yankees Bullpen Rank: 26th

The Athletics’ bullpen outranks the Yankees significantly, which could be pivotal in late-game scenarios.

Offensive Matchup

  • Overall Offensive Rank:
  • Athletics: 23rd
  • Yankees: 7th
  • Performance Against Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Athletics: 20th
  • Yankees: 12th

The Yankees hold a clear advantage offensively, both overall and against lefties, which could pressure the Athletics’ pitching staff.

Athletics vs Yankees Prediction

Betting Insights and MLB Betting Model Analysis

MLB Betting Model Projections

  • Oakland Athletics:
  • Probability: 38.66%
  • Projected US Odds: +159
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.59
  • New York Yankees:
  • Probability: 61.33%
  • Projected US Odds: -159
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.63

Our model sees the Yankees as the favorites but notes that the Athletics offer potential value given the discrepancies between the market odds and our projected odds.

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Moneyline: Oakland Athletics (JP Sears)
  • Odds: +200
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 0.80
  • Confidence Level: Solid Value

Despite being the underdogs, our analysis shows solid value in backing the Athletics at these odds, particularly considering their stronger bullpen and the potential pitching vulnerabilities of the Yankees.

Conclusion: Athletics vs Yankees Prediction

When making your Athletics vs Yankees prediction, remember that sports betting is about value and probability. Always cross-reference the best available odds and consider using betting models to guide your decisions. If you are keen to enhance your betting skills, consider exploring detailed sports betting courses and models. Remember, each bet should be informed and well-reasoned. Happy betting and enjoy the game!

Note: For final best MLB bets and first half picks, make sure to check our “MLB Picks” page or access my comprehensive MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets for more insights.

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