Athletics vs Yankees Prediction April 25

Discover our Athletics vs Yankees prediction for April 25, 2024. Our MLB betting model gives the Yankees a 64.02% chance to win, with projected odds of -178. Explore why betting on the Athletics might offer solid value despite their underdog status at +221. Always check the latest odds!


Game Overview

The upcoming game on Thursday, April 25, 2024, between the Oakland Athletics and the New York Yankees promises to be an intriguing encounter. The Athletics vs Yankees prediction hinges significantly on the pitching duel between Oakland’s Alex Wood and New York’s Nestor Cortes at Yankee Stadium. With the odds heavily favoring the Yankees at 1.40 (or -250 US odds) and the Athletics at a more speculative 3.21 (or +221 US odds), bettors are faced with evaluating the risk-reward scenario presented by this matchup.

Pitching Matchup Analysis

Alex Wood (Oakland Athletics)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 7.89
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.76
  • xFIP: 5.42
  • K/9: 8.31
  • BB/9: 4.57
  • WHIP: 2.03
  • GB/FB: 0.73
  • xERA: 6.45
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Nestor Cortes (New York Yankees)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 3.41
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.55
  • xFIP: 3.68
  • K/9: 8.69
  • BB/9: 1.55
  • WHIP: 1.07
  • GB/FB: 0.64
  • xERA: 2.74

From these statistics, Nestor Cortes clearly outperforms Alex Wood in nearly every significant pitching metric, suggesting a more stable and reliable outing from the Yankees’ pitcher.

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

Bullpen Performance

  • Oakland Athletics: Ranked 10th
  • New York Yankees: Ranked 25th

Despite the Yankees’ robust starting pitching, their bullpen’s lower ranking indicates potential vulnerability, contrasting with the Athletics’ stronger bullpen performance.

Offensive Matchup

  • Athletics Overall Rank: 26
  • Yankees Overall Rank: 10
  • Against Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Athletics: 21
  • Yankees: 14

The Yankees hold a substantial advantage in offensive capabilities, especially against left-handed pitchers, which aligns with this game’s setup.

Athletics vs Yankees Prediction

MLB Betting Model Insights

According to the MLB betting model:

  • Probability:
  • Athletics: 35.98%
  • Yankees: 64.02%
  • Projected Odds:
  • Athletics: +178 (Decimal: 2.78)
  • Yankees: -178 (Decimal: 1.56)

Despite the Yankees’ favoritism in the model, it identifies a value pick in the Athletics, marked by a solid value confidence level on Alex Wood at +221 odds, adjusted with a Kelly Criterion value of 0.70.

Conclusion: Athletics vs Yankees Prediction

For the Athletics vs Yankees prediction, always ensure to verify the latest odds and consider the dynamics of each team’s performance. While the Yankees show superiority in starting pitching and offense, the Athletics’ advantageous bullpen and the potential value in their betting odds cannot be overlooked. Utilize this Athletics vs Yankees prediction as a guide, but adjust your betting strategies according to real-time updates and personal analysis. For deeper insights into baseball betting projections and strategies, explore our MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets or enroll in one of our sports betting courses.

Recommended MLB Pick: Consider a value bet on the Oakland Athletics, recognizing the potential upside despite the challenging odds.


Disclaimer: Odds are dynamic and subject to change. Make sure to double-check odds on your betting platform before placing bets.

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