Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Guardians vs Braves Prediction

This Sunday’s MLB showdown, featuring the Guardians vs Braves, leans slightly towards Atlanta with a 55.17% win probability. Yet, our betting model finds value in the underdog, Cleveland Guardians, suggesting a promising pick at +162 odds. Dive into the details before placing your bets!


As we dive into this anticipated matchup between the Oakland Athletics and the Baltimore Orioles, our focus on this “Athletics vs Orioles Prediction” hinges on the key details surrounding both teams. We’ll explore everything from the starting pitchers and bullpen strength to offensive capabilities and our final MLB betting model’s probabilities.

Game Information and Betting Odds

Teams and Odds Overview

  • Away Team: Oakland Athletics | Decimal Odds: 2.61 | US Odds: +161
  • Home Team: Baltimore Orioles | Decimal Odds: 1.57 | US Odds: -175

Note: Odds are subject to change, and it’s essential to check multiple sportsbooks for the best lines available.

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Starting Pitchers

Paul Blackburn, Oakland Athletics

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 2.03

Albert Suarez, Baltimore Orioles

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 0.00

Pitching Matchup Analysis

When comparing Paul Blackburn and Albert Suarez, the statistics paint a nuanced picture:

  • SIERA: Blackburn 3.81, Suarez 3.86
  • xFIP: Blackburn 3.53, Suarez 4.04
  • Strikeouts Per Nine Innings (K/9): Blackburn 6.68, Suarez 7.15
  • Walks Per Nine Innings (BB/9): Blackburn 2.32, Suarez 1.59
  • WHIP: Blackburn 0.97, Suarez 0.79
  • Ground Ball to Fly Ball Ratio (GB/FB): Blackburn 1.88, Suarez 0.71
  • Expected ERA (xERA): Blackburn 3.39, Suarez 2.63

Bullpen Strength

  • Oakland Athletics: Ranked 8th
  • Baltimore Orioles: Ranked 5th

Offensive Matchup

Team Offensive Rankings

  • Oakland Athletics: Overall 27th | vs. LHP 24th | vs. RHP 24th
  • Baltimore Orioles: Overall 1st | vs. LHP 2nd | vs. RHP 1st
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction

MLB Betting Model Insights

Predicted Probabilities

  • Oakland Athletics (Paul Blackburn): 26.27% probability | Projected US Odds: +281 | Decimal: 3.81
  • Baltimore Orioles (Albert Suarez): 73.72% probability | Projected US Odds: -280 | Decimal: 1.36

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Baltimore Orioles (Albert Suarez)
  • Odds: -175
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 2.76
  • Confidence: Good Value

Conclusion: Athletics vs Orioles Prediction

In our “Athletics vs Orioles Prediction,” it is crucial to use this analysis as a guide while engaging actively with the betting process. Always seek the best odds, consider using sportsbook bonuses, and engage with analytical tools like MLB betting models to refine your betting strategy. Remember, informed betting is smart betting—never follow picks without a thorough analysis.

For more detailed betting insights and to access advanced betting models, visit our “MLB Picks” page or explore our MLB betting courses.

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