Astros vs Yankees Prediction

The Astros vs Yankees Prediction leans toward a close contest, with the betting model favoring the Yankees at 51.48%. However, the model identifies tiny value in backing the Astros due to Ronel Blanco’s steadier advanced stats and the Astros’ stronger bullpen. Consider +110 odds for a potential upset.


Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

  • Away Team: Houston Astros – Odds: 2.10 (Decimal), +110 (US)
  • Home Team: New York Yankees – Odds: 1.72 (Decimal), -139 (US)
  • Location: Yankee Stadium

Odds can fluctuate, so always shop for the best MLB betting odds available across different sportsbooks.

MB MLB 728x90 Jpg

Starting Pitchers

  • Houston Astros: Ronel Blanco – ERA: 2.09
  • New York Yankees: Marcus Stroman – ERA: 3.41

Advanced Stats Comparison

  • Ronel Blanco (Astros):
  • SIERA: 4.13
  • xFIP: 4.20
  • K/9: 8.38
  • BB/9: 3.72
  • WHIP: 0.96
  • GB/FB: 1.0
  • xERA: 2.48
  • Marcus Stroman (Yankees):
  • SIERA: 4.29
  • xFIP: 4.02
  • K/9: 8.51
  • BB/9: 4.86
  • WHIP: 1.43
  • GB/FB: 2.27
  • xERA: 4.23

Ronel Blanco’s slightly lower advanced metrics indicate better control and efficiency than Marcus Stroman. His BB/9 is more manageable, and his WHIP shows that he’s generally effective at keeping runners off base. However, Stroman has a higher ground-ball rate, which could help mitigate Yankee Stadium’s home-run-friendly environment.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Houston Astros Bullpen Rank: 16
  • New York Yankees Bullpen Rank: 22

The Astros’ bullpen is ranked higher than the Yankees, suggesting that their relievers may provide better late-game stability.

Offensive Matchup

  • Houston Astros:
  • Overall Rank: 3
  • Rank vs LHP: 3
  • Rank vs RHP: 6
  • New York Yankees:
  • Overall Rank: 5
  • Rank vs LHP: 18
  • Rank vs RHP: 3

The Astros demonstrate stronger consistency against lefties and righties alike, but the Yankees particularly thrive against right-handed pitching.

Astros vs Yankees Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability & Analysis

  • Houston Astros (Ronel Blanco):
  • Probability: 48.50%
  • Projected Odds (US): +106
  • Projected Odds (Decimal): 2.06
  • New York Yankees (Marcus Stroman):
  • Probability: 51.48%
  • Projected Odds (US): -106
  • Projected Odds (Decimal): 1.94

The betting model projects a tight contest, giving a slight edge to the Yankees, but not enough to consider a significant favorite.

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: Houston Astros
  • Pitcher: Ronel Blanco
  • Odds: +110
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Value: 0.17
  • Confidence: Tiny Value

The betting model indicates a small value on the Astros as the underdogs due to Ronel Blanco’s steadier advanced metrics and their relatively better bullpen.

Conclusion for Astros vs Yankees Prediction

Use this Astros vs Yankees Prediction to aid your analysis, but don’t rely solely on others’ picks. Shop around for the best MLB betting odds and seize any promotional opportunities. To elevate your betting strategies with advanced analytical models, visit our “MLB Picks” page and explore our courses on sports betting.

Access my free content and join exclusive, private email circle for strategic advice, personal stories, and expert tips.

No spam. Betting value only.