Astros vs Tigers Prediction – Betting Model Analysis 8/26/23

Welcome to MLB betting model projections and predictions from my private spreadsheets and additionally AI ChatGPT prediction for this game. This prediction is made using a private MLB betting model which includes all key aspects and statistics of the game, to predict the outcome.

Betting Odds

The betting odds are set for the game between Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers on August 26, 2023, at Comerica Park:

• Houston Astros: US odds -128, Decimal odds 1.78
• Detroit Tigers: US odds 118, Decimal odds 2.18

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Team Statistics

Houston Astros

• Games played: 130
• R/G: 4.85 (Rank 8)
• HR: 167 (Rank 10)
• RBI: 611 (Rank 9)
• SB: 93 (Rank 14)
• BA: 0.252 (Rank 14)
• OBP: 0.324 (Rank 12)
• SLG: 0.419 (Rank 11)
• OPS: 0.743 (Rank 12)
• OPS+: 102 (Rank 100)

Detroit Tigers

• Games played: 128
• R/G: 4.00 (Rank 30)
• HR: 131 (Rank 25)
• RBI: 492 (Rank 29)
• SB: 58 (Rank 29)
• BA: 0.235 (Rank 27)
• OBP: 0.301 (Rank 29)
• SLG: 0.380 (Rank 28)
• OPS: 0.680 (Rank 30)
• OPS+: 86 (Rank 100)

League Averages

• R/G: 4.602
• HR: 154.8
• RBI: 567.97
• SB: 91.07
• BA: 0.2487
• OBP: 0.3199
• SLG: 0.414
• OPS: 0.73397
• OPS+: 99.93

Pitchers

Houston Astros will start with Hunter Brown (R) on the mound, who has a record of 8 wins and 9 losses in 23 games started. He has an ERA of 4.57, K/9 of 10.14, BB/9 of 2.86, WHIP of 1.34, xFIP of 3.32, xERA of 3.64, GB/FB of 2, and SIERA of 3.6.

Detroit Tigers will start with Eduardo Rodriguez (L) on the mound, who has a record of 9 wins and 6 losses in 19 games started. He has an ERA of 3.03, K/9 of 9.16, BB/9 of 2.15, WHIP of 1.08, xFIP of 3.64, xERA of 3.5, GB/FB of 1.11, and SIERA of 3.8.

Bullpen Rankings out of 30 teams

• Houston Astros: 13
• Detroit Tigers: 22

MLB Betting Model Prediction Full Game

Based on the MLB betting model, the projected win percentages and odds are as follows:

• Houston Astros: Projected win% 57.27%, Projected US odds -134, Projected decimal odds 1.75
• Detroit Tigers: Projected win% 42.72%, Projected US odds 134, Projected decimal odds 2.34
• Projected Over Under – total runs for full game: 9.13

MLB Betting Model Prediction Full Game

• Full Game moneyline value: Not Qualified bet
• First Half Betting value: Houston Astros

BEST MLB BET: Houston Astros (Brown) 1st Half -118

Bookies odds:

• Houston Astros: -128, 1.78
• Detroit Tigers: 118, 2.18

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Conclusion

The Astros vs Tigers prediction and best MLB bets suggest that the Houston Astros are likely to win the first half of the match with Hunter Brown on the mound. However, it’s crucial to remember that betting should always be done responsibly. Good luck!