Astros vs Cubs Prediction April 25

Today’s Astros vs Cubs prediction delves into a tight matchup, with our MLB betting model giving a near-even probability: Astros at 50.06% and Cubs at 49.94%. The model slightly favors the Cubs, presenting a valuable betting opportunity. Don’t miss out on using these insights for your betting strategy!


In today’s much-anticipated game, the Houston Astros take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This Astros vs Cubs prediction will dive deep into the pitching duel between Justin Verlander and Javier Assad, providing insights that go beyond the surface to offer sophisticated betting advice. With the latest odds placing the Astros slightly ahead, this analysis aims to determine where the true betting value lies.

Game Details

Teams: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024

Location: Wrigley Field

Odds: Astros (-120), Cubs (+111)

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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Justin Verlander: Houston Astros

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.00
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.71
  • xFIP: 3.65
  • K/9: 6.00
  • BB/9: 0.00
  • WHIP: 0.67
  • GB/FB: 0.75
  • xERA: 4.07

Javier Assad: Chicago Cubs

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 2.11
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.86
  • xFIP: 3.93
  • K/9: 8.86
  • BB/9: 3.38
  • WHIP: 1.03
  • GB/FB: 0.78
  • xERA: 3.18

Bullpen and Offensive Matchup

Bullpen Rankings:

  • Astros: 21st
  • Cubs: 16th

Offensive Rankings:

  • Astros:
  • Overall: 4th
  • vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 5th
  • vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 9th
  • Cubs:
  • Overall: 10th
  • vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 3rd
  • vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 17th
Astros vs Cubs Prediction

MLB Betting Model Insights


  • Astros (Verlander): 50.06% | Projected Odds: -100 (2.00)
  • Cubs (Assad): 49.94% | Projected Odds: +100 (2.00)

Recommended MLB Pick:

  • Side: Chicago Cubs (Javier Assad)
  • Odds: +111
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 0.48
  • Confidence: Tiny Value

Conclusion: Astros vs Cubs Prediction

This Astros vs Cubs prediction highlights a closely matched game, with a slight edge given to the Cubs based on our sophisticated betting model. The matchup between Verlander and Assad shows slight advantages in favor of Assad, especially considering the Cubs’ better bullpen and effectiveness against right-handed pitchers. Always ensure to shop around for the best odds and consider using a betting model to guide your decisions. For more detailed strategies and personalized betting guidance, consider exploring sports betting courses and tools available online.

Final Thoughts

Remember, using Astros vs Cubs prediction as a guide is a smart approach, but always make your own informed decisions. Check back for updates on MLB picks and betting strategies to enhance your betting success. Happy betting and enjoy the game!

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