Astros vs Athletics Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Oakland Athletics a 51.96% probability to win against the Houston Astros on May 24, 2024. With Ross Stripling pitching, the Athletics offer good value at odds of 151. Use this Astros vs Athletics prediction to make informed bets and find the best odds.


Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

As we gear up for an exciting MLB showdown between the Houston Astros and the Oakland Athletics on Friday, May 24, 2024, all eyes are on the starting pitchers and the potential outcomes. Our focused analysis on the Astros vs Athletics prediction aims to provide you with comprehensive insights to make informed betting decisions.

Decimal Odds and US Odds

  • Houston Astros: 1.61 (-164)
  • Oakland Athletics: 2.51 (151)

Always remember that odds can fluctuate, so it’s crucial to check various sportsbooks to find the best MLB odds before placing your bets.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Justin Verlander (Houston Astros)

  • Hand: Right Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.97
  • SIERA: 5.12
  • xFIP: 5.22
  • K/9: 6.88
  • BB/9: 3.71
  • WHIP: 1.21
  • GB/FB: 0.44
  • xERA: 3.89

Justin Verlander brings a wealth of experience to the mound with a respectable ERA of 3.97. Despite his advanced age, his xERA suggests he’s capable of maintaining a strong presence against batters. His SIERA and xFIP indicate some volatility, but his WHIP and K/9 remain solid.

Ross Stripling (Oakland Athletics)

  • Hand: Right Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 5.19
  • SIERA: 4.73
  • xFIP: 4.42
  • K/9: 5.54
  • BB/9: 2.08
  • WHIP: 1.56
  • GB/FB: 1.02
  • xERA: 4.25

Ross Stripling has had a tougher season with a higher ERA of 5.19. However, his SIERA and xFIP suggest he has been somewhat unlucky and might perform better than his ERA indicates. His lower BB/9 rate is a positive sign, but his WHIP and GB/FB ratio highlight some areas of concern.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Houston Astros Bullpen Rank: 9
  • Oakland Athletics Bullpen Rank: 7

Both teams have reliable bullpens, with the Athletics slightly edging out the Astros in terms of ranking. This indicates that late-game performance could be a decisive factor, and both bullpens are expected to play crucial roles in this matchup.

Offensive Matchup

Overall Hitting Performance

  • Houston Astros: Ranked 2nd overall, 6th against Left-Handed Pitchers, 4th against Right-Handed Pitchers
  • Oakland Athletics: Ranked 11th overall, 20th against Left-Handed Pitchers, 6th against Right-Handed Pitchers

The Astros boast a formidable offense, ranking second overall and showing consistent strength against both left and right-handed pitchers. The Athletics, while still competitive, lag behind slightly, particularly against left-handed pitching.

Astros vs Athletics Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

Our MLB betting model provides the following probabilities for the Astros vs Athletics prediction:

  • Houston Astros (Justin Verlander): 48.03%
  • Oakland Athletics (Ross Stripling): 51.96%

Projected Odds

  • MLB Model Projected US Odds for Houston Astros: 108
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds for Houston Astros: 2.08
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds for Oakland Athletics: -108
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds for Oakland Athletics: 1.92

Recommended MLB Pick

Based on our comprehensive analysis and the MLB betting model, the recommended pick for this game is:

  • Side: Oakland Athletics
  • Pitcher: Ross Stripling
  • Odds: 151
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 2.01
  • Confidence: Good value

The value lies with the Oakland Athletics, given the favorable odds and slight edge in our model’s probability.

Conclusion: Astros vs Athletics Prediction

In conclusion, our Astros vs Athletics prediction offers valuable insights for betting enthusiasts. While the Astros bring a strong lineup and experienced pitching to the table, the Athletics present a good value bet considering the odds and our model’s probability. Always use this prediction as a guide and ensure to shop around for the best betting odds. For more detailed MLB bets and first-half picks, visit our “MLB Picks” page or explore our betting models to enhance your betting strategy.

Remember, betting responsibly and analytically can significantly improve your chances of success. For those looking to deepen their understanding of betting models and odds calculation, our sports betting courses provide the perfect opportunity to learn how to bet like a pro.

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