The much-awaited college football season is upon us, and one of the exciting matchups of week 1 features Arkansas State against Oklahoma. In this post, we will dive deep into a detailed analysis of both teams and provide a calculated prediction for this showdown. Get ready to make your college football picks with this analysis generated by AI.
Stop Following Betting Picks. Make your own +EV bets.
The much-awaited college football season is upon us, and one of the exciting matchups of week 1 features Arkansas State against Oklahoma. In this post, we will dive deep into a detailed analysis of both teams and provide a calculated prediction for this showdown. Get ready to make your college football picks with this analysis.
Team Analysis:
Arkansas State:
- SRS: Arkansas State presents as a weak team with a total SRS of -10.77, comprising a weak offense (OSRS -3.03) and a very weak defense (DSRS -7.74).
- Scoring: The team averages 25 points per game, while their opponents average 31.4 points.
- Passing & Rushing: Their passing offense is below average at 8.32 yards/attempt, and their passing defense is weak at 6.65 yards/attempt. The rushing offense is below average with 3.97 yards/attempt, and the rushing defense is weak at 3.41 yards/attempt.
Oklahoma:
- SRS: Oklahoma exhibits strength with a total SRS of 8.52, thanks to a strong offense (OSRS 7.12) and a slightly above-average defense (DSRS 1.4).
- Scoring: Oklahoma averages 32.8 points per game, while their opponents average 30 points.
- Passing & Rushing: Their passing offense is strong with 10.1 yards/attempt, and their passing defense is above average at 4.92 yards/attempt. The rushing offense is above average at 6.42 yards/attempt, while the rushing defense is below average at 2.86 yards/attempt.
Score Projection:
Arkansas State’s offense and defense are weaker than Oklahoma’s. Arkansas State’s passing and rushing offenses are below average, while Oklahoma excels in passing offense and is above average in rushing offense.
Considering the Strength of Opposition:
- Arkansas State: Expected to score lower than their average (25) due to Oklahoma’s slightly above-average defense. Considering their offensive strength and Oklahoma’s defensive capability, Arkansas State’s projected score could be around 20-22 points.
- Oklahoma: Expected to score higher than their average (32.8) against Arkansas State’s very weak defense. Factoring in their offensive strength and Arkansas State’s defensive weakness, Oklahoma’s projected score could range from 35-37 points.
Projected Score:
- Arkansas State: 20-22 points
- Oklahoma: 35-37 points
Best NCAAF Picks:
Considering the projections, the best NCAAF bet would be Arkansas State +36.

Conclusion:
While Arkansas State has its work cut out for them against Oklahoma’s robust team, betting on Arkansas State +36 seems to be the wisest choice for this matchup. Remember, while predictions are based on stats and calculations, the actual game-day outcome can vary. Be sure to consider all factors before placing your free college football picks.
Learn More:
To understand how to bet on sports analytically and how to use spreadsheets and sports betting models, sign up for a free betting course.