Get expert insights with our ANTHONY SMITH vs VITOR PETRINO UFC prediction! UFC betting models show Vitor Petrino as a strong favorite with a 68.52% ELO probability and a 65.31% logistic regression likelihood. Analyze and bet wisely as you prepare for this thrilling matchup.

As we gear up for the highly anticipated UFC showdown between Anthony Smith and Vitor Petrino, the sports betting community is abuzz with predictions and analyses. This ANTHONY SMITH vs VITOR PETRINO UFC prediction offers a detailed look at the fighters’ stats, odds, and expert insights, providing bettors with the essential information needed to make informed decisions. Created by Eric, a member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass, this analysis leverages a sophisticated UFC betting model to deliver top-notch predictions.

Game Details and Sportsbook Odds

The upcoming fight on Saturday, May 4, 2024, features Anthony Smith as the underdog against the favored Vitor Petrino. Here are the current betting odds:

  • Anthony Smith: Decimal odds at 4.60 (US odds +360)
  • Vitor Petrino: Decimal odds at 1.22 (US odds -455)

Remember, odds are subject to change, so it’s crucial to shop around for the best UFC odds across different sportsbooks.

Fighter Comparison: Smith vs. Petrino

Striking and Defense

  • Anthony Smith:
  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 3.21
  • Striking Accuracy: 48%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 4.47
  • Striking Defense: 46%
  • Vitor Petrino:
  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 2.74
  • Striking Accuracy: 45%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 2.49
  • Striking Defense: 45%

Grappling and Takedowns

  • Smith is known for his grappling, averaging 0.49 takedowns and 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 26%.
  • Petrino excels with a takedown average of 0.45 and an impressive submission average of 0.8 per 15 minutes, boasting a takedown accuracy of 68%.

ELO Ratings

  • Anthony Smith: 1455.26
  • Vitor Petrino: 1590.38

UFC Betting Model Predictions

Eric’s UFC betting model uses both ELO and logistic regression predictions to analyze the fighters’ chances:

  • Anthony Smith: ELO probability at 31.48%, Logistic regression at 34.69%
  • Vitor Petrino: ELO probability at 68.52%, Logistic regression at 65.31%

The strength of this model is evident when both the ELO model and the logistic regression agree, especially when the odds are between 1.50 and 3.00 (US odds between -200 and +200).

Expert Betting Tip: VITOR PETRINO to Win

Based on the comprehensive analysis provided by Eric’s UFC betting model, the recommended pick is Vitor Petrino to win. This prediction takes into account both statistical analyses and the current betting odds, providing a robust basis for this betting decision.

Conclusion: Using ANTHONY SMITH vs VITOR PETRINO UFC Prediction Wisely

While this detailed ANTHONY SMITH vs VITOR PETRINO UFC prediction serves as a valuable tool for bettors, it’s important to use this information wisely. Never blindly follow any sports picks. For the most accurate UFC picks, learn to use statistics effectively in your betting strategies, stay updated with the latest MMA news, and always seek out the best UFC betting odds. Additionally, take advantage of bonuses and promotions when betting on the UFC.

For those looking to elevate their betting game, consider learning how to bet analytically with sports betting models and possibly creating your own to become a long-term winner. For more insights and training, check out our sports betting courses.

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