Angels vs Pirates Prediction

Explore our MLB betting model for the Angels vs Pirates prediction! The model gives the Pittsburgh Pirates a 56.65% winning chance with projected odds of -131, while the Los Angeles Angels stand at 43.35% with odds of +131. Tailor your bets with these insights for the May 6, 2024 game.


In this detailed analysis, we explore the upcoming MLB matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Pittsburgh Pirates, focusing on starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Mitch Keller. This Angels vs Pirates prediction provides a deep dive into pitching performances, team offenses, and bullpen statistics to help you make informed betting decisions.

Game Details and Sportsbook Odds

Date: Monday, May 6, 2024
Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Starting Pitchers:

  • Los Angeles Angels: Tyler Anderson (Left-Handed Pitcher)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: Mitch Keller (Right-Handed Pitcher)


  • Los Angeles Angels: 2.06 (Decimal), +106 (US)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.74 (Decimal), -135 (US)
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Note: Odds can change, so always check the latest MLB odds across different sportsbooks.

Pitching Matchup Analysis

Tyler Anderson (Los Angeles Angels)

  • ERA: 2.23
  • SIERA: 4.81
  • xFIP: 4.82
  • K/9: 6.69
  • BB/9: 3.72
  • WHIP: 1.07
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.77
  • xERA: 4.72

Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates)

  • ERA: 5.18
  • SIERA: 4.05
  • xFIP: 3.97
  • K/9: 8.78
  • BB/9: 3.38
  • WHIP: 1.48
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.1
  • xERA: 5.04

Bullpen and Offensive Matchup

Bullpen Rankings

  • Los Angeles Angels: Ranked 23rd
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: Ranked 14th

Offensive Comparison

  • Los Angeles Angels:
  • Overall Rank: 20
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 11
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 23
  • Pittsburgh Pirates:
  • Overall Rank: 26
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 14
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 27
Angels vs Pirates Prediction

MLB Betting Model and Prediction

The MLB betting model estimates the following probabilities and corresponding odds for this Angels vs Pirates prediction:

  • Los Angeles Angels (Tyler Anderson):
  • Probability: 43.35%
  • Projected US Odds: +131
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.31
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (Mitch Keller):
  • Probability: 56.65%
  • Projected US Odds: -131
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.77

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh Pirates (Mitch Keller)
  • Odds: -135
  • Confidence Level: No value, based on bold opinion

Conclusion: Angels vs Pirates Prediction

As we wrap up this Angels vs Pirates prediction, remember that betting involves risks and should be approached with caution. Always seek the best MLB odds and consider all factors before placing your bets. For those interested in developing their betting skills, consider exploring sports betting courses that use analytical models for more informed decision-making.


Check our “MLB Picks” Page for final bets and first half picks. To delve deeper into sports betting analysis, get access to our MLB betting model available on Google Sheets.

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