ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC Prediction

The ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC prediction, based on Eric’s advanced betting model, shows Magomedov with a 59.60% chance according to ELO ratings and 62.45% via logistic regression. This expert analysis suggests Magomedov as the favored pick for this thrilling UFC bout.


Introduction

The highly anticipated UFC bout between Abus Magomedov and Warlley Alvares has fans and bettors alike eagerly awaiting the showdown. This blog post will delve into the ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC prediction, using expert analysis and advanced betting models to provide you with the best insights for making informed bets.

This UFC fight prediction is brought to you exclusively by Eric, an Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass member, who has developed a sophisticated UFC betting model. Eric shares his predictions and betting model picks for this UFC fight today, offering a unique perspective on what to expect.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

FighterDecimal OddsUS Odds
Abus Magomedov3.30+230
Warlley Alvares3.30+230

Odds can change, so always shop for the best UFC odds on different sportsbooks to maximize your potential returns.

Comparing Stats

Analyzing the stats of both fighters gives us a clearer picture of their capabilities and potential performance in the octagon:

Abus Magomedov

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 6.15
  • Striking Accuracy: 39%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 5.73
  • Striking Defense: 57%
  • Takedown Average per 15 Minutes: 0
  • Takedown Accuracy: 0%
  • Takedown Defense: 100%
  • Submission Average per 15 Minutes: 0

Warlley Alvares

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 5.44
  • Striking Accuracy: 42%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 6.05
  • Striking Defense: 49%
  • Takedown Average per 15 Minutes: 0.49
  • Takedown Accuracy: 11%
  • Takedown Defense: 86%
  • Submission Average per 15 Minutes: 0

ELO Rating

  • Abus Magomedov: 1528.82
  • Warlley Alvares: 1461.24
ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC Prediction

UFC Betting Model Prediction

Eric’s UFC betting model uses a combination of ELO ratings and logistic regression to determine the probability of each fighter winning:

  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Abus Magomedov: 59.60%
  • Warlley Alvares: 40.40%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Abus Magomedov: 62.45%
  • Warlley Alvares: 37.55%

Important Info about UFC Betting Model

The power of the UFC betting model, developed by Eric from Underdog Chance, is particularly evident when both the ELO model and the logistic regression model agree. When the odds are between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 and +200), Eric’s model has proven to be highly effective.

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s UFC fight predictions and betting model analysis, the recommended pick for this fight is:

Adrian Yanez to win

Conclusion: ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC Prediction

Using the ABUS MAGOMEDOV vs WARLLEY ALVARES UFC prediction as your guide can enhance your betting strategy, but it’s crucial to never blindly follow anyone’s sports picks. For accurate UFC picks, learn to use statistics in betting and stay updated with the latest MMA news. Always shop for the best UFC betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions when betting on UFC.

If you want to learn how to bet like a pro, analytically with sports betting models, and gain the knowledge to build your own betting model to become a long-term winner, consider enrolling in my sports betting courses.

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