Hi, I am Marjan.

The College, Statistics, Algorithms

The big change started when I moved to a capital city to study Water Science and Environmental Engineering.

In the last year, where I had still a couple of exams, which I could pass in one year, I decided not to finish it. I simply followed my heart and I was already deeply in sports betting.

This was the best decision (for me) because I would never be a good engineer. You must love what you do and I didn’t really love water science, building bridges, or drainage systems.

But I learned a lot in college, especially how to use statistics and without this knowledge and without University, I couldn’t become what I am now:

• I learned how to use excel and statistics. Water Science was all about statistics and excel back then. I was not the best student, but I still learned many very useful things, that later helped me in betting
• I learned the importance of numbers and algorithms. All serious businesses, companies,… and of course bookmakers use analytics. I was lucky to understand this from the start. Later it was just how to master this in betting.

Betting the Value by Comparing Odds

Understanding the value is still one of the hardest things to understand for many bettors. But again I was lucky to understand this quickly.

I didn’t focus anymore on who will win the game, because this is completely worthless, but back then I saw that our local sportsbooks simply copy odds from the biggest online bookmakers. What I quickly realized is that they were very slow by moving the odds.

I was simply comparing my local sportsbook odds and the odds from the biggest online bookmakers. It happened many times back then that online bookmakers moved the spread from +7 to +3 and our local sportsbook still had at +6.5.

And this is what I was betting. And this was the value. The online market represented let’s say true probabilities and the prices, while our local sportsbook didn’t move the line.

I didn’t focus on winners, but simply on the numbers and the price that I pay.

I made a lot of money back then. At least for me as a student.

Local sportsbook started banning my bets

The first problems started when they didn’t want to accept my combinations and tickets. And this happened pretty quickly. It happened many times, that I had to move to different locations to try to bet or even ask my friends to bet at the same time on different locations.

I saw that this will not work anymore and the local bookmaker started moving the lines much faster. Because of high margins, I knew I had to find another way.

Sports Bettor

Because of all these problems with my local bookmakers, where I couldn’t bet anymore just by comparing odds, I decided to analyze games and start finding a value. In the next years, I lived from sports betting and had some occasional jobs, usually at weekends. I could say I became a sports handicapper.

What is a professional sports bettor?

A professional sports bettor is a person, who bet on sports with an edge against the sportsbooks (and other bettors) and turns this into a profit. Pro sports bettors put a lot of time, effort, and energy into analyzing sports events based on the numbers and sports betting analytics.

My handicappers years and baseball betting

I decided to research the market and I wanted to find a sport or the league that can be described with the numbers. I wanted to have a sport with a lot of data, so I can start betting based on my analysis.

I found that baseball is the perfect match for me.

I came from a country, where nobody watches baseball. But I knew that I must separate what I love (soccer) and where I can make profits.

I was pretty successful with my MLB betting and at the same time, I was a participant of all kinds of betting forums, portals, books, etc… I was even invited to secret betting groups, asked to sell picks (I even did this for a short period of time – but this is against my philosophy), and was connected with some of the best sports bettors all over the World.

The freedom and my philosophy of life

Betting and numbers are my passion and this passion is the same now. But in my 20’s I didn’t pay much attention to the bigger picture of life, success, and development.

I had the access to the right information and books. They always helped me to get back up when I was down in my life, but I was still young. Even if I made money with betting I didn’t keep it. I spent it on parties, girls,… and also my money management was not perfect either.

I didn’t have the right plan for what to do with the profits and there were a lot of ups and downs, despite I made very good analyses and bets.

This was the time of searching for my identity as a bettor and the person. I had a great time back then and I also met friends for a lifetime. It was crazy and epic at some point, but there were also very tough periods of time.

I was making profits with betting, but I still ignored the overall picture of life and I was not fully satisfied.

So I went back to books, reading, and started asking questions about life, what to do with betting profits, investments, business, how to generate more income streams, …

After I connected all the dots I started looking at betting and my life from a different perspective.

Books and non-formal education

I was reading books from Anthony Robbins, Napoleon Hill, Stephen Covey, Robert Kiyosaki,…. later more spiritual from Eckhart Tolle, etc…

And I tried to learn more about myself, my life, money, and success.

When I look back, I always wanted to motivate people and help them. When I was young, it was probably because of my ego, because I felt great. And this is of course also a reward. We all need such small rewards. But later I saw that I am really happy if I help someone to succeed.

Three things are very important for a happy life: good relationships, that you make a living with something you truly love and the third is that you make a positive impact on the world and the lives of other people.

My motivation was always freedom

I loved betting and the numbers, but the biggest motivation was never only money. It was always freedom. Many ideas are explained in books like Surrender Experiment by Michael Singer, The Power of Now by Eckhart Tolle, or The 4 Hour Workweek by Tim Ferris.

I started to see a bigger picture of life, investing, and how important is to generate more income streams in your life. The quote “If your job is the only income stream, you are one step away from poverty” is a very powerful one. The book Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki is a pure gem and will help you to understand why some people are always without money, despite they have good jobs or in our case, they are very good sports bettors.

But betting alone is not enough if you don’t fix all other things in your life. After all, relying on only one income stream is a very very bad idea. The average millionaire has at least 7 different income streams. This is something I didn’t understand back then. Why do Lebron James, Cristiano Ronaldo, Jay Z, and other successful people invest in other areas? Because it is important.

For most of my life, I was somehow involved in betting. I spent a total of maybe 4 years of my life for regular 5-9 jobs and at some points, I had weekend jobs, but even then I spent most of the time betting. Either betting or learning about betting and finding my unique methods.

And this is why I started re-investing my sports betting profits and building more income streams. I love the quote: “it is more important how you make money than how much you make” (Gary Vaynerchuk).

Sports Betting had always a big role in my life and this is what I want to do for the rest of my life. Math, statistics, models, investing, intellectual challenge,… with very solid ROI. All I have now wouldn’t be possible without sports betting and of course without some luck on my journey! Luck should not be ignored.

What is the purpose of this site?

The purpose of this site and all my work is to positively impact sports bettors all over the World. The goal is to help sports bettors to STOP following and paying for sports picks services and rather focus on their own betting skills. It is a combination of understanding the money, investment, the right mindset, sports betting models, and understanding the betting theory. This is what helped me and this is what I share with you.

Why?

During all these years, I was of course following closely what is happening in the sports betting world.

Sports Betting Picks, Sports Handicappers, Picks Services grew every year. The presence of sports handicappers without any betting knowledge, who were selling picks was on the rise. And with social media, the whole thing came out of control.

Everyone who has 5 minutes of time sells or shares his picks now. Millions and millions of bettors look for the magical bullets, but there is no quick solution.

Not only that following or paying for picks will not help most bettors in the World, the craziest thing is that the whole thing became 80% marketing and only 20% betting.

Most sports handicappers and betting services don’t use any statistics for betting, don’t even track their bets, or talk about important betting topics, like closing line value, betting algorithms, betting models, finding a value, etc…

This is where I decided that I want to share my story, my views, and the way how I bet. Going deep with the betting topic and sharing information that can really make sports bettors better every day is my passion. I simply love this.

I decided not to focus only on how to find picks, because picks will not help you. But share the bigger picture about betting, where the focus is on how to start using the numbers, make your own betting “picks” and become successful.

I decided to create this site, where the main goal is not sports picks but sharing my knowledge, how I bet and what is my betting philosophy.

The goal is to change sports bettors’ lives forever. This is what gives me extra happiness and satisfaction in my betting world.

What other say about MB?
David Beaudoin, PhD in statistics and professor at Laval University in Quebec City

“Life is beautiful. You never know when you are going to meet a new person that will change your life.
It happened to me a few months ago as I was surfing the web. I ran into this underdogchance.com website that I didn’t know anything about. The interface looked nice, the guy on the picture looked like a nice guy and I liked the fact he was mentioning being an “investor” in sports betting.
The more I kept reading, the more I wanted to get to know this guy. He claims to be a family guy, dad of a two-year old girl. I have 2 young boys so I can relate to him. His vision of sports betting is exactly like mine: you absolutely need to mix statistical models with your own judgement in order to be successful in this business. If you only watch games and don’t run any numbers, you are very likely to lose in the long run. If you only focus on numbers and you don’t take into account important factors like injuries and scheduling, you are also likely to run into some trouble.
I wrote a long email to MB and we hit it off immediately. We’ve been emailing each other quite often since then and became good friends. I highly recommend checking out his website, whether you want to follow his free daily NHL/MLB picks or his online course about sports betting called “A Journey”.
Thanks MB for all the informative content related to sports betting, but more importantly, thanks for being a friend.”
Professor MJ
http://www.professormj.com

A proud father who looks for peace in his life

I am a simple person and not a typical sports handicapper. I don’t even call myself a handicapper, maybe a better word is a sports betting analyst and entrepreneur.

I am now in my 40’s and I was never really impressed with gambling, lights, flash, Casinos, and similar things.

I try to live peacefully and at the same time, I understand that I don’t have an influence on many things around us. This is why I try to be grateful for every day and see what the next day will bring.